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If Seguin Wasn’t Injured, Would Dallas Be In The Finals?

The Dallas Stars were eliminated in the second round of the playoffs against the St Louis Blues. This came to a shock to many as Dallas was first place in the Western Conference for the majority of the season, and it is hard not to wonder if the outcome would be different of 24-year-old All Star center Tyler Seguin wasn’t injured.  Although we can never know for sure, a look at statistics for the 2015-2016 doesn’t hurt.

Seguin finished the regular season with 33 goals (tenth overall) and 40 assists (28th overall) with a grand total of 73 points (fourteenth overall) for the season.  It’s fair to say Seguin had a successful season before a cut Achilles tendon on March 17 in a game against Tampa Bay.  He returned exactly a month later for Game 2 of the first round in the playoffs against Minnesota but acquired a lower body injury in that game and is still recovering.

To see if Seguin could have helped Dallas reach the finals if there had been no injury, I have compared Seguin’s stats to St Louis and San Jose players to see if his presence could have helped.

Goals: Seguin finished tenth overall with 33 goals in the season, the highest scoring player in St Louis was Vladimir Tarasenko with 40 goals (fourth overall), and the highest in San Jose was Joe Pavelski with 38 goals (fifth overall).  The highest scoring of Seguin’s teammates was Jamie Benn with 41 goals (third overall).

Assists: Seguin finished 28th overall with 40 assists in the season, the highest scoring player in St Louis was Paul Stastny with 39 assists (38th overall), and the highest in San Jose was Joe Thornton with 63 assists (second overall).  The highest scoring of Seguin’s teammates was Jamie Benn with 48 assists (eleventh overall).

Points: Seguin finished fourteenth overall with 73 points in the season, the highest scoring player in St Louis was Vladimir Tarasenko with 74 points (twelfth overall) and the highest scoring player in San Jose was Joe Thornton with 82 points (fourth overall).  The highest among Seguin’s teammates was Jamie Benn with 89 points (second overall).

Although it is impossible to predict with statistics overall and that anything can happen in the Stanley Cup playoffs, statistics don’t seem to work in Seguin’s favor.  Making it to the Western Conference Final could have been somewhat probable, with the Finals even less probable with the statistics from the regular season.

Congratulations to Tyler Seguin for an amazing season and best of luck with rehabilitation to be even better next season!

 

Meghan Dillon
Born and raised in the Chicago suburbs, die-hard Chicago Blackhawks fan and Starbucks addict.
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